Tag: <span>pandemic</span>

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Evaluating the effectiveness of social distancing interventions against COVID-19

The term ‘flatten the curve’, originating from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), has been used widely to describe the impact of social distancing interventions. A new study based in a mathematical model ―age-structured Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Removed (SEIR) model, to describe the transmission of COVID-19―, to investigate the effectiveness of social distancing interventions lasting six...

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Estimation of the final size of the COVID-19 epidemic

One of the common questions regarding an epidemic is its final size. To answer this question various models are used: analytical (Danby 1985, Brauer 2019a, b, Murray 2002), stochastic (Miller 2012), and phenomenological (Fisman D 2014, Pell et al. 2018). A new study attempts to estimate the final epidemic size using the phenomenological logistic growth...