Tag: <span>spread</span>


Estimation of the final size of the COVID-19 epidemic

One of the common questions regarding an epidemic is its final size. To answer this question various models are used: analytical (Danby 1985, Brauer 2019a, b, Murray 2002), stochastic (Miller 2012), and phenomenological (Fisman D 2014, Pell et al. 2018). A new study attempts to estimate the final epidemic size using the phenomenological logistic growth...